Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.979663 1.144786 1.328969 1.549632 1.806849 2.097268 2.450189
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.710505 0.927839 1.198007 1.558532 2.027273 2.616540 3.414554
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.558090 0.788921 1.098906 1.545627 2.173447 3.025434 4.271834
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.459454 0.692700 1.026205 1.537811 2.303726 3.409685 5.132294
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.393797 0.627681 0.980705 1.552279 2.455953 3.832626 6.096106
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.328351 0.550060 0.901301 1.498101 2.488804 4.072024 6.804065
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.307064 0.538231 0.920942 1.600408 2.779501 4.747589 8.296506
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.263601 0.481874 0.858298 1.554395 2.813077 5.000488 9.109131
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.226651 0.430940 0.796964 1.500129 2.821464 5.206015 9.859135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.196930 0.388570 0.744518 1.453346 2.834513 5.417206 10.641487
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.180948 0.369790 0.732700 1.480413 2.988232 5.904185 12.006816
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.175702 0.371263 0.759465 1.585604 3.306864 6.743734 14.173195
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.164117 0.358717 0.757903 1.635743 3.526208 7.425132 16.134295
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.149726 0.338289 0.737728 1.644797 3.662490 7.957789 17.865314
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.135245 0.315449 0.709141 1.631159 3.746829 8.389740 19.434075
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.122976 0.295766 0.684656 1.622910 3.841286 8.854323 21.138426
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113796 0.281917 0.671320 1.638177 3.991245 9.461175 23.254611
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.100930 0.257345 0.629877 1.581007 3.961730 9.650013 24.398969
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.099391 0.260552 0.654844 1.688964 4.348426 10.873066 28.250573
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.089142 0.240116 0.619327 1.640410 4.336808 11.125496 29.687085
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.079605 0.220177 0.582421 1.583146 4.294836 11.296282 30.935304
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.071503 0.202934 0.550188 1.533780 4.266900 11.499149 32.297410
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.067668 0.196930 0.546842 1.562341 4.453936 12.290372 35.378631